Executive Summary

The Alfa Romeo MiTo, a stylish hatchback with Italian character, continues to hold value in the Dutch secondhand market, even after being discontinued. If you're wondering: “What is the expected value of my Alfa Romeo MiTo?”, this data-driven breakdown provides clear answers.

Using vehicle listings from Marktplaats.nl, we’ve modeled how age and mileage impact resale value — giving you a precise estimate of what your MiTo might be worth.

Official Alfa Romeo MiTo page →

Key Insights

• A brand-new MiTo is estimated at €23,595.
• Each additional year reduces value by ~€1,364.
• Mileage has a smaller, consistent effect, at ~€0.0578 per km.
• Older models stabilize in price, forming a floor around €2,000–€5,000.
• The model uses 267 real listings from the Dutch market, scraped on July 21, 2025 excluding listings priced below 100 EUR.

Coefficient Analysis

• Constant:
  Predicted price of a brand-new MiTo.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Age (years):
  Strong negative effect — each additional year significantly reduces the car’s value.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Mileage (km):
  Each kilometer driven lowers the value at a steady linear rate.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Age²:
  Slight curvature — adds a minor stabilizing effect on older cars.
  Significance: Not significant

• Age × Mileage:
  Weak interaction — value slightly adjusts when both age and mileage are high.
  Significance: Borderline

• Mileage²:
  Statistically significant but negligible real-world impact on price.
  Significance: Significant

This polynomial model captures both linear and nonlinear effects, with statistically sound results for age and mileage, while interaction terms add subtle refinements to the depreciation curve.

Equation Used

Price ≈ 23595 - 1364·(age) - 0.0578·(mileage_km) + 25.05·(age²) + 0.00145·(age × mileage_km) + 0.000000·(mileage_km²)

This equation provides a way to estimate expected price by plugging in your vehicle’s age and mileage. It explains price trends well, with most actual listings falling within a tight confidence range.

Market Value Guide

Based on the model:

• A 10-year-old Alfa Romeo MiTo with ~130,000 km is typically listed for €6,500–€7,500.
• A 15-year-old MiTo with 200,000+ km often lists around €2,000–€3,500.
• Vehicles depreciate most quickly in the first 7 years, then stabilize.

For sellers, this means pricing competitively within confidence intervals ensures higher listing success. For buyers, it offers a benchmark to assess fairness and potential resale outlook.

Methodology

• Sample Size: 267 listings
• Data Source: Marktplaats.nl
• Collection Date: July 21, 2025
• Model Type: Polynomial regression of degree 2 with interaction terms
• Target Variable: Asking price (EUR)

Final Thoughts

The Alfa Romeo MiTo remains a popular and moderately value-retentive vehicle in the Dutch market. While it does depreciate — like all cars — its post-10-year value levels off, especially in the €2,000–€5,000 range.

Whether you’re selling a MiTo or shopping for one, this data offers a valuable benchmark rooted in real market behavior.

Disclaimer: Estimates reflect listing prices, not final sale prices. Local demand, condition, service history, and regional trends may affect actual value.