Executive Summary

The Toyota Aygo, a popular city car praised for its compact design and low running costs, continues to hold value in the Dutch used car market. But how much is your Aygo actually worth today?

This article answers that question based on data from 307 active listings on Marktplaats.nl, using a polynomial model to predict resale value by age and mileage.

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Note: This analysis only includes vehicles listed explicitly as Toyota Aygo — it excludes the Toyota Aygo X and other name variants. As the Aygo has been produced in multiple trims and generations, pricing can vary slightly based on those factors.

Key Insights

• A brand-new Toyota Aygo is estimated at €18,183.
• Each year of age reduces value by ~€921.
• Each kilometer reduces value by ~€0.053.
• Older vehicles (13+ years) often stabilize in price around €2,000–€4,000.
• Based on 307 listings, collected on July 21, 2025.

Coefficient Analysis

• Constant:
  Predicted price of a new Toyota Aygo.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Age (years):
  Strong negative impact — each additional year meaningfully reduces resale value.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Mileage (km):
  Clear downward effect — each additional kilometer reduces price.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Age²:
  Modest upward curvature — slight stabilization in pricing for older models.
  Significance: Significant

• Age × Mileage:
  Weak interaction effect — combined age and mileage slightly reduce value faster.
  Significance: Highly significant

• Mileage²:
  Small nonlinear correction; minimal real-world impact.
  Significance: Marginally significant

This model captures both direct depreciation and more subtle nonlinear interactions that help fine-tune price estimates.

Equation Used

Price ≈ 18183 - 921·(age) - 0.053·(mileage_km) + 9.76·(age²) + 0.00185·(age × mileage_km) + 0.00000·(mileage_km²)

You can plug in your car’s age and mileage to get a close approximation of its resale price, based on listing behavior.

Market Value Guide

Typical resale value ranges include:

• A 6-year-old Toyota Aygo with 90,000 km typically lists between €7,000–€8,500.
• A 12-year-old model with 180,000+ km usually ranges from €2,500–€4,000.

The Aygo benefits from low depreciation and strong demand as a reliable entry-level car, making it one of the more price-stable used cars in the Dutch compact segment.

Methodology

• Sample Size: 307 listings
• Data Source: Marktplaats.nl
• Collection Date: July 21, 2025
• Model Type: Polynomial regression with interaction terms
• Included: Listings with only 'Aygo' as the brand
• Target Variable: Asking price (EUR)

Final Thoughts

The Toyota Aygo continues to be a top performer in urban mobility, with pricing that reflects its practicality and lasting appeal. While mileage and age steadily reduce resale value, the drop-off is slower than many other cars — especially after the 10-year mark.

Whether you're planning to sell your Toyota Aygo or just curious about the market, this model-based analysis offers a reliable pricing benchmark.

Disclaimer: This is based on listings, not actual sales. Final sale value depends on condition, service history, location, and trim details.